In a Discouraging Unemployment Report, a Rise in Temporary Positions

The U.S. unemployment rate surged to 10.2% in October, according to the Labor Department. Another interesting data point in today's report: "Temporary help services added 44,000 jobs since July, including 34,000 in October. From January 2008 through July 2009, temporary help services had lost an average of 44,000 jobs per month."

Are employers using temporary workers as a hedge against taking on permanent employees in this early stage of a recovery? Perhaps, says Wharton management professor Matthew Bidwell. He notes that temporary employment "tends to be rather cyclical. These people are often the first to be laid off in a downturn, but they can also be the first to be hired as the economy recovers."

According Bidwell, not all temporary employees are included in the Labor Department's monthly unemployment reports, which count workers specifically employed by temporary help agencies. In addition, there are contractual workers, such as consultants and freelancers, who take on short-term assignments for companies. They are counted in the bi-annual population survey conducted by the Census Department. Employers will often "try to game the system" by treating such workers as permanent employees in all but name so that they don't have to provide them with health benefits or deal with payroll taxes.

"It is very hard to legally define who is a contractor and who is a regular employee," says Bidwell. "There is some suspicion that those problems might affect the census figures, so it is possible [the census] might undercount contractors. I have heard that argument used to explain why those numbers are stable while temporary employment has grown."

Comments

New This Week

Transforming Health Care Logistics With Low-Cost AI

Transforming Health Care Logistics With Low-Cost AI

July 28, 20265 min read

By forecasting demand and correcting for missing data, researchers from Wharton and Penn Engineering developed a low-cost AI tool that helps get life-saving medicines to the communities in Sierra Leone that need them most.

Can an Acquisition Buy a Company a Second Chance?

Can an Acquisition Buy a Company a Second Chance?

July 28, 20264 min read

New Wharton research suggests acquisitions can help companies repair damaged stakeholder relationships and defuse long-running conflicts.

The State of the American Dream at 250

The State of the American Dream at 250

July 28, 20267 min read

As America marks its 250th Anniversary, Wharton’s Susan Wachter explains why homeownership has become harder to achieve, and what can be done to restore the American Dream for younger generations.

Susan M. Wachter profile photo

Contributing Faculty

Susan M. Wachter