A Map to Show Who Is Expanding — and Who Is Not

Moody's Economy.com Dismal Scientist web site today highlights its global recession status map, which shows economic expansion underway in economies as diverse as China, Egypt and Panama. In a "Global Outlook" report that accompanies the map, economist The Ruth Stroppiana explains in this month's Global Outlook, it is now  possible to at least envision the end of the worldwide downturn:

"Among the major economies, China is currently on the most stable footing and looks set to be the first to recover. While Asia’s giant growth locomotive came close to derailment late last year amid factory closures and surging unemployment, the Chinese government's massive fiscal stimulus, one of the world's largest, has helped put its economy back on track…

"A number of Asian countries — with the notable exception of Japan — have either reached or are approaching the bottom of their current cycle. The U.S. will follow Asia out of the recessionary abyss in the closing months of the year. Most major economies in Latin America — with the exception of Mexico — will also start expanding by the end of the year. Firmer commodity prices will also provide an additional stimulus for some Latin American countries."

The full report is for subscribers only, buy the interactive map is free. Clicking on individual countries provides a brief summary of their economic status.

Related Reading from Knowledge at Wharton and KnowledgeToday:

Deflation Fears: Could Falling Prices Let the Air Out of a Recovery?

The 100-day Dash: An Ambitious but Worrisome Start for the Obama Administration

Why Economists Failed to Predict the Financial Crisis

Spring Thaw? Good News Seen Traveling in Packs

Comments

New This Week

A healthcare professional in blue scrubs working on a laptop in a medical setting. They have a stethoscope around their neck.

Can AI Manage an Entire Medical Decision Process?

March 17, 20266 min read

A new Wharton study tests whether AI can handle realistic clinical decision-making, a dynamic process that requires managing a patient’s condition under time pressure.

A person is working from home on a laptop while carrying a baby in a front carrier. The setting includes home office elements like a bookshelf and decorative plants.

Maximize Your Utility: Career, Family, and Time Strategies

March 17, 20264 min read

This Nano Tool for Leaders offers practical steps for making more intentional choices during your most time-squeezed years.

Robotic hands typing on a laptop keyboard, symbolizing artificial intelligence or automation in technology.

Will LLMs Replace Coders? Not Entirely

March 17, 20263 min read

After ChatGPT’s launch, the percentage of routine coding questions on an online forum fell sharply, while novel questions rose, according to new research by Wharton’s Neha Sharma.