Faculty Archive

Barbara Mellers

Are You a Superforecaster? What Good Decision-makers Have in Common

Mar 07, 2017
Marketing
North America
mic

Research shows that there are certain kinds of people who can forecast correctly most of the time. What traits do they share?

Why Even the Best Forecasters Sometimes Miss the Mark

Apr 19, 2016
Public Policy
North America

Forecasters are human, and forecasting models, for all their dispassion, are built by people. But specialists in forecasting say that despite their limitations, they remain a strong improvement over pure[…]

A Better Crystal Ball: Improving the Science of Forecasting

May 13, 2015
Public Policy
North America
video

Wharton's Barbara Mellers discusses what makes some people better prognosticators than others, and how the best forecasters can be given a boost.

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